{"id":2604,"date":"2026-07-07T20:22:50","date_gmt":"2026-07-07T12:22:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.yqcsfz.com\/?p=2604"},"modified":"2026-07-07T20:22:50","modified_gmt":"2026-07-07T12:22:50","slug":"%e7%8b%82%e7%83%ad%e3%80%81%e6%81%90%e6%85%8c%e4%b8%8e%e5%b4%a9%e7%9b%98%ef%bc%9a%e7%a9%bf%e8%b6%8a-38-%e5%b9%b4%e7%89%9b%e7%86%8a%ef%bc%8c%e6%b3%a2%e5%8a%a8%e6%98%af%e8%b4%a2%e5%af%8c%e7%9a%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/?p=2604","title":{"rendered":"\u72c2\u70ed\u3001\u6050\u614c\u4e0e\u5d29\u76d8\uff1a\u7a7f\u8d8a 38 \u5e74\u725b\u718a\uff0c\u6ce2\u52a8\u662f\u8d22\u5bcc\u7684\u5fc5\u7ecf\u4e4b\u8def –"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u5728\u957f\u671f\u7684\u4e16\u4fd7\u725b\u5e02\uff08Secular Bull Market\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u6ce2\u52a8\u662f\u5fc5\u987b\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u300c\u5165\u573a\u7a0e\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u5f80\u5f80\u5c5e\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u80fd\u591f\u514b\u670d\u4eba\u6027\u672c\u80fd\u3001\u5728\u6050\u614c\u4e2d\u575a\u5b9a\u589e\u6301\u5e76\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\u7684\u300c\u50bb\u74dc\u300d\u3002<\/p><\/div>\n

\n

\u4f5c\u8005\uff1a Raoul Pal<\/span><\/p>\n

\u7f16\u8bd1\uff1a \u6df1\u6f6e TechFlow <\/span><\/p>\n

\u539f\u6587\u94fe\u63a5\uff1ahttps:\/\/x.com\/RaoulGMI\/status\/2019541941663285274<\/span><\/p>\n

\u6df1\u6f6e\u5bfc\u8bfb\uff1a \u9762\u5bf9\u8fd1\u671f\u52a0\u5bc6\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\uff0c\u4e00\u4f4d\u62e5\u6709 38 \u5e74\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u9a8c\u3001\u6df1\u8015\u52a0\u5bc6\u9886\u57df 13 \u5e74\u7684\u8001\u5175\u5206\u4eab\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u5fc3\u8def\u5386\u7a0b\u3002\u4ed6\u66fe\u89c1\u8bc1\u8fc7\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ece 200 \u7f8e\u5143\u5230 75,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u6ce2\u6f9c\u58ee\u9614\uff0c\u4e5f\u7ecf\u5386\u8fc7\u65e0\u6570\u6b21\u51c0\u503c\u56de\u64a4 50% \u751a\u81f3 80% \u7684\u81f3\u6697\u65f6\u523b\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u4ed6\u5411\u90a3\u4e9b\u611f\u5230\u7edd\u671b\u548c\u6124\u6012\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u4f20\u9012\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u7406\u5ff5\uff1a\u5728\u957f\u671f\u7684\u4e16\u4fd7\u725b\u5e02\uff08Secular Bull Market\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u6ce2\u52a8\u662f\u5fc5\u987b\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u300c\u5165\u573a\u7a0e\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u5f80\u5f80\u5c5e\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u80fd\u591f\u514b\u670d\u4eba\u6027\u672c\u80fd\u3001\u5728\u6050\u614c\u4e2d\u575a\u5b9a\u589e\u6301\u5e76\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\u7684\u300c\u50bb\u74dc\u300d\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u611f\u89c9\u975e\u5e38\u6b8b\u9177\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6beb\u65e0\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u7ed3\u675f\u4e86\u3002\u4f60\u9519\u8fc7\u4e86\u673a\u4f1a\u3002\u4f60\u53c8\u4e00\u6b21\u628a\u4e8b\u60c5\u641e\u7838\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u5145\u6ee1\u6124\u6012\u548c\u56f0\u60d1\u3002\u90a3\u4e9b\u9884\u89c1\u5230\u8fd9\u79cd\u5c40\u9762\u7684\u4eba\u6216\u8bb8\u611f\u5230\u5e86\u5e78\uff0c\u4f46\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u4e5f\u80fd\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u5bf9\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u4f24\u5bb3\u6709\u591a\u6df1\u3002\u8fd9\u611f\u89c9\u5c31\u50cf\u662f\u6700\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u8fdb\u5165\u5e02\u573a\u5df2\u7ecf 38 \u5e74\u4e86\uff08\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u629b\u552e\u7b97\u662f\u4e00\u4efd\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u751f\u65e5\u793c\u7269\uff0c\u6b63\u597d\u8d76\u4e0a\u6211\u6628\u665a\u98df\u7269\u4e2d\u6bd2\uff01\uff09\uff0c\u6211\u89c1\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u5d29\u76d8\u548c\u6050\u614c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u611f\u89c9\u90fd\u4e00\u6837\uff1a\u8be5\u6b7b\u7684\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6211\u4ece 2013 \u5e74\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u63a5\u89e6\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u90a3\u65f6\u6211\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u4ee5 200 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e70\u5165 BTC\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e70\u5165\u540e\u5b83\u53cd\u5f39\u4e86\u4e00\u9635\uff0c\u63a5\u7740\u5c31\u8dcc\u4e86 -75%\u2026\u2026\u800c\u8fd9\u8fd8\u662f\u5728\u725b\u5e02\u671f\u95f4\u53d1\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e2a\u725b\u5e02\u6700\u7ec8\u6da8\u5230\u4e86\u6211\u5165\u573a\u4ef7\u7684 10 \u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u6211\u6ca1\u6709\u5356\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u90a3\u662f\u957f\u671f\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u6211\u6df1\u77e5\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u5728 2014 \u5e74\u7684\u718a\u5e02\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b83\u53c8\u66b4\u8dcc\u4e86 -87%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684 2017 \u5e74\u725b\u5e02\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u906d\u53d7\u4e86\u4e09\u6b21\u5e45\u5ea6\u5728 -35% \u5230 -45% \u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5267\u70c8\u629b\u552e\u2026\u2026\u975e\u5e38\u6b8b\u9177\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5206\u53c9\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u6211\u6700\u7ec8\u5728 2000 \u7f8e\u5143\uff082013 \u5e74\u7684\u524d\u9ad8\u70b9\uff09\u9009\u62e9\u4e86\u79bb\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u90a3\u65f6\u6211\u7684\u539f\u59cb\u6295\u8d44\u5df2\u7ecf\u8d5a\u4e86 10 \u500d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5230\u90a3\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u5b83\u53c8\u6da8\u4e86 10 \u500d\uff08\uff01\uff01\uff09\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u624d\u5f00\u542f\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u573a\u6f2b\u957f\u3001\u4e11\u964b\u7684\u718a\u5e02\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u6210\u529f\u907f\u5f00\u4e86\u90a3\u6574\u4e2a\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u611f\u89c9\u68d2\u6781\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u6211\u72af\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee3\u4ef7\u9ad8\u6602\u7684\u9519\u8bef\uff1a\u4e3a\u4e86\u505a\u300c\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u4e8b\u300d\uff08\u6284\u5e95\uff09\uff0c\u6211\u5728 2020 \u5e74\u65b0\u51a0\u75ab\u60c5\u5d29\u76d8\u671f\u95f4\u4ee5 6,500 \u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u91cd\u65b0\u4e70\u5165\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u6bd4\u6211\u5356\u51fa\u65f6\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e86 3.5 \u500d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728 2021 \u5e74\uff0cBTC \u4ece 4 \u6708\u5230 7 \u6708\u4e5f\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86 -50% \u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u7eea\u548c\u73b0\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u76f8\u4f3c\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u63a8\u7279\uff08Twitter\uff09\u4e0a\u7684\u6c1b\u56f4\u6781\u5176\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002\u771f\u7684\u5f88\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002\u4f46\u90a3\u65f6\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u8d85\u5356\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5176\u5b9e\u8fd8\u6ca1\u4eca\u5929\u8fd9\u4e48\u4e25\u91cd\u2026\u2026<\/p>\n

\u5230\u4e86 2021 \u5e74 11 \u6708\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u5230\u4e86\u5386\u53f2\u65b0\u9ad8\u3002SOL \u4ece\u4f4e\u70b9\u53cd\u5f39\u4e86 13 \u500d\uff0cETH \u7ffb\u4e86\u4e00\u756a\uff0cBTC \u521b\u4e0b\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u53cd\u5f39\u4e86 150%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u4eb2\u5386\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u5207\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u5fc3\u788e\u3001\u809d\u80a0\u5bf8\u65ad\u7684\u65f6\u523b\uff0c\u90fd\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5927\u7684\u4e16\u4fd7\u725b\u5e02\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6211\u7684\u9996\u6b21\u4e70\u5165\u4ef7\u662f 200 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u662f 65,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u4e2d\u95f4\u6211\u751a\u81f3\u56e0\u4e3a\u8bd5\u56fe\u62e9\u65f6\uff08\u62e9\u65f6\u5f97\u5f88\u70c2\uff09\u800c\u9519\u8fc7\u4e86 3.5 \u500d\u7684\u6da8\u5e45\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e00\u6761\u5173\u952e\u6559\u8bad\uff1a<\/strong>\uff08\u5bf9\u6211\u800c\u8a00\uff09\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e00\u79cd\u4e16\u4fd7\u6027\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u5c31\u662f\u300c\u65e0\u4e3a\u300d\u3002HODL\uff08\u957f\u671f\u6301\u6709\uff09\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6897\u662f\u6709\u6df1\u523b\u539f\u56e0\u7684\uff0c\u5b83\u6bd4\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u300c\u56db\u5e74\u5468\u671f\u300d\u7406\u8bba\u5f3a\u5927\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6761\u6559\u8bad\uff1a<\/strong> \u5728\u629b\u552e\u4e2d\u6fc0\u8fdb\u52a0\u4ed3\u3002\u5373\u4fbf\u6211\u6ca1\u80fd\u7cbe\u51c6\u6284\u5e95\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u5f31\u52bf\u884c\u60c5\u4e2d\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6279\u644a\u5e73\uff08Averaging into weakness\uff09\u6765\u589e\u52a0\u603b\u4ed3\u4f4d\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\uff0c\u5176\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u590d\u5229\u6548\u5e94\u662f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u6bd4\u5b9a\u671f\u5b9a\u989d\uff08DCA\uff09\u8fd8\u8981\u6709\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u95ee\u81ea\u5df1\u4e24\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff1a<\/p>\n

    \n
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    \u4ed3\u4f4d\u5927\u5c0f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u627f\u53d7\u80fd\u529b\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u522b\u62c5\u5fc3\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u5728\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\u90fd\u4f1a\u89c9\u5f97\u81ea\u5df1\u4ed3\u4f4d\u592a\u91cd\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\u53c8\u89c9\u5f97\u81ea\u5df1\u4e70\u5f97\u4e0d\u591f\u3002\u4f60\u53ea\u9700\u8981\u7ba1\u7406\u597d\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60c5\u7eea\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

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    \u5728\u957f\u671f\u7684\u4e16\u4fd7\u725b\u5e02\uff08Secular Bull Market\uff09\u4e2d\uff0c\u6ce2\u52a8\u662f\u5fc5\u987b\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u300c\u5165\u573a\u7a0e\u300d\uff0c\u800c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u8d22\u5bcc\u5f80\u5f80\u5c5e\u4e8e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":357,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-crypto-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2604","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2604"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2604\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7897,"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2604\/revisions\/7897"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/357"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2604"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2604"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.zaixinjiang.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2604"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}